SPCE · Virgin Galactic
What if Delta flies?
Virgin Galactic stock is a debate about the likelihood of them getting the new Delta spaceship in the air. Management have said they will fly Delta commercially in February 2027. Use this tool to see what that actually means.
SPCE · NYSE
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Delayed quote, refreshes every minute
Set a price on each path, then the chance you give a February hit. The leftover is a miss.
Starting guesses, not a forecast
Hit
Management target: February 2027
$
Slip
Flies later in 2027
$
Break
No 2027 flight
$
56%
30% break
56% hit · 31% slip · 13% break
The stock should trade at
$17.93
5.6x upside
56% × $30.00 + 31% × $3.25 + 13% × $1.00
$14.74 above the $3.19 market price.